Medical Office Real Estate Trends to Watch in 2024

Developed by PMB and partner Santa Clara Valley Healthcare, Valley Health Center San Jose is slated for completion in 2025. Image courtesy of PMB

While the office sector is still far from recovering following the COVID-19 hit, the medical office building market continues to thrive, mainly due to asset specificity. Typically, the sector has a low vacancy rate, with stable tenants occupying the properties for long periods of time. Additionally, the aging population and the advances in medical technology are both supporting demand for such spaces. No wonder that interest from investors in picking up MOB assets is on the rise.

Despite a lower transaction volume compared to previous years, the national average price per square foot stood at $296 in the first half of 2023, according to a CommercialEdge report. From 2017 to 2022, prices consistently hovered between $260 and $290.

For Kevin Smigiel, vice president of Healthcare Advisory Services with the Phoenix office of Transwestern, one of the biggest advantages that an increasing number of investors are now seeing in the health-care real estate sector is tenants’ willingness to sign long-term leases. This has prompted some traditional office owners to turn to this particular type of asset class, despite not pursuing such investments before the pandemic.

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“The number of office owners who previously would not pursue a medical deal in their office building for fear of fending off office users are no longer holding that line and have become willing to chase medical deals in order to increase occupancy in their assets,” said Kenneth Smondrowski, senior vice president of Healthcare Advisory Services in the Bethesda, Md., office of Transwestern. “This makes perfect sense because it means longer deals, better credit and stickier tenancy.”

Until recently, MOBs were seen as an alternative asset class, but now they are more of a mainstream investment sector. Rahul Chhajed and Michael Moreno, both senior vice presidents & senior directors of health care with Matthews, agree that medical office buildings are a recession-proof asset class that is not only seen by investors as a way to broaden their portfolios, but they also provide opportunities for consolidation in the space.

“You can buy a building leased by a one-practice physician group, which then gets acquired, and now you go from a tenant with $5 million in assets to $5 billion. That is obviously going to increase the value of real estate,” Chhajed said.

Not immune to challenges

Despite some key elements that work in favor of the health-care real estate sector and that make it resilient in the face of economic uncertainty, Shawn Janus, national director of health care with Colliers, points out that the market did indeed experience a slowdown in transaction activity in 2023.

“Volumes were down, with portfolio transactions being particularly impacted. Smaller transactions and…